0:00 Intro
1:02 What METR just found
3:05 Anthropic’s secret models
5:12 The chart that shows progress has doubled
7:25 This isn’t just about more computers
8:37 The 12x speed-up (and what Demis Hassabis warns about)
13:28 No bottlenecks in sight
14:32 The threshold Anthropic may have already crossed
17:02 What Anthropic redacted
19:30 Is AI 2027 coming true?
23:15 Why AI researchers are sounding the alarm
26:25 The case for staying calm
27:41 What happens next
28:27 My honest take
🎥 Video clips courtesy of: Dwarkesh Patel, Anthropic, Demis Hassabis (via X), Jeffrey Ladish interview (via X)
🐦 Posts featured: @METR_Evals, @AndrewCurran_, @Mr_Salio, @ashawv5i, @xingyudang, @dummerspast39 (Binkg), @daniel_mac8, @zephyr_z9, @ben_j_todd, @Sam_McCandlish, @AISafetyMemes, @DKokotajlo, @theobearman, @nikolaj2030, @DavidSKrueger, @spicey_lemonade, @SydneyVonArx, @co0ver (Aiden), @AlexBores, @Deor
📰 Sources
1. Independent Assessment of AI R&D Acceleration at Anthropic in October 2026 (METR): https://metr.org/blog/2026-11-05-anthropic-ai-rd-acceleration-assessment/
2. Review of the "Risks from automated R&D" section in Anthropic’s Risk Report, August 2026 (METR): https://metr.org/blog/2026-11-05-rd-section-anthropic-risk-report-august-2026-review/
3. We Must Pace the Frontier (Dario Amodei): https://www.darioamodei.com/post/we-must-pace-the-frontier
4. Anthropic Form S-1 (SEC EDGAR): https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0002130357/000162828026067168/anthropicpbc-sx1.htm
5. Anthropic tells IPO investors its AI-builds-AI threshold may be imminent (The Gadgeteer): https://the-gadgeteer.com/2026/11/03/anthropic-tells-ipo-investors-its-ai-builds-ai-threshold-may-be-imminent/
6. Anthropic AI acceleration hits 1.9x on benchmarks; METR calls Anthropic threshold defense overstated (Tech Times): https://www.techtimes.com/articles/330164/20261106/anthropic-ai-acceleration-hits-19x-benchmarks-metr-calls-anthropic-threshold-defense-overstated.htm
7. AI 2027 (AI Futures Project): https://ai-2027.com/
8. Dario Amodei: "We are near the end of the exponential" (Dwarkesh Podcast): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n1E9IZfvGMA
9. AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion, Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo (Dwarkesh Podcast): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=htOvH12T7mU
10. Building Anthropic: a conversation with our co-founders (Anthropic): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=om2lIWXLLN4
11. Using Claude Opus 5.5 as your daily driver (Claude): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jKRl_CSVxyI
Was there anything i missed?
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Music Used
LEMMiNO – Cipher
CC BY-SA 4.0
LEMMiNO – Encounters
#ArtificialIntelligence
